New York, London, Paris March 13 (Tanjug) - Western military officials and analysts agree that the truce in the Ground Safety Zone in southern Serbia has no alternative.

Their opinions, that the agreement can be eventually violated and the role of ethnic Albanian terrorists, in other words, Yugoslav forces in that, differs from claims that the members of so-called "Liberation Army of Presevo, Bujanovac and Medvedja" are the main danger to peace in that area, to theories that Yugoslav forces are "inclined to crimes".

The NATO Secretary-General George Robertson stressed, in his interview to the BBC television, that he knows "that the cease-fire is not completely sure to happen", and that "Serbs in the region do not feel secure yet".

According to the Vice-president for foreign-relations and secure studies in Washington Institute Kato, Ted Carpenter, "ethnic Albanian guerillas" are the main problem in the region "since June 1999".

In his statement to the newspaper "Voice of America", Carpenter noticed that current aim of "KLA actions and its branches in Presevo Valley and Macedonia is to spread war and to start realization of ideas, not only about independent Kosovo, but about great Kosovo and Albania, conquering territories of Serbia and northern and western Macedonia".

"Macedonia could not survive strong offensive by KLA without help of foreign countries, which means that the NATO, which had entered Kosovo in order to, allegedly, protect ethnic Albanians, could soon be engaged in war against those because of who it entered", Carpenter stated.

His doubts are harbored by one of the commanders of so-called Liberation Army of Presevo, Medvedja and Bujanovac Shefket Musliu who claims that a 20-day cease-fire agreement was signed, while reporter of the NATO Secretary-General Peter Feith and Serbian Deputy Prime Minister Nebojsa Covic said that the truce has no time frame.

According to the daily "New York Times", one unnamed western diplomat predicts that "leaders of ethnic Albanian guerillas would probably follow Kosovo scenario and try to show that nothing had changed in Belgrade - that the President of FRY Vojislav Kostunica is the same as (former president) Slobodan Milosevic".

The same diplomat expects "organized wave of ethnic Albanians who, as refugees, are leaving the villages in the zone".

In favor of those predictions is the "Washington Post" report, according which ethnic Albanian citizens from the villages inside the zone claim that they would leave their homes if Yugoslav troops arrived. And "rebel soldiers" say that in spite of the cease-fire, which their leaders had signed, they would resume their "fight for freedom".

"We will not let them come here, that is why we have uniforms and guns. We started down this road and we will follow it to the end", one 18-year-old terrorist said to the "Washington Post" after the signing of the agreement.

Former State Department official and expert for Eastern Europe John Fox thinks that Belgrade has a reason for concern. He explains that with certainty that "Yugoslav forces which are now allowed to enter into a sections of tampon zone towards Kosovo do not differ very much from forces which had committed crimes in Kosovo and BIH".

Leaders of ethnic Albanians in Kosovo and southern Serbia share his opinion, evaluating that the entry of Yugoslav Army into the security zone represents "real threat to peace and security of Kosovo".

Head of Pristina daily newspaper Koha Ditore, Veton Surroi, says that he "does not see the logic" in decision to allow Yugoslav forces to return to a section of the ground safety zone.

Former NATO Commander for Europe General Wesley Clark, in his statement to the "Voice of America" evaluated that the truce has no alternative and informed Serbs and ethnic Albanians they should respect it "in details".

Clark stated that "KFOR had known, from the beginning, that the violence could broke out on borders of Kosovo" reminding that "Kosovo Albanians are under the protection of NATO", and that they could lose that support "if they stick to the guns".

At the same time, Bush's administration and NATO are worried that peacekeepers in Kosovo could become targets of furious ethnic Albanians who think that the West favors Serbs.

One unnamed NATO diplomat said to the "New York Times that, "this is an important political test, but also a risk".